As someone who cannot wait for a meteor to hit the Earth so we could all dl3 and end all sufferings, I’ve always wondered if we could calculate the day of our death.
And since I am more of a math fanatic than a philosopher that would ponder about death, I would like to go for a different approach and quantify it instead.
When we talk about death, it’s also a talk about probability. Whether we die or we live, whether we catch a contagious disease or we don’t.
If we were born a victim of war that suffers from harmful chemicals (Agent Orange, Phosphorus), if we lived under an apartheid state or have to go through genocide.
Or do we reap the benefits of colonialism and imperialism by living a western country with wealth built from the wealth of Africa (even now), a long heritage of subjugation, and a history of colonization in order to build wealth and power.
Our lives are governed by uncertainties—whether it's the randomness of disease, the impact of war, or the privileges shaped by history and present. Probability gives us a way to quantify this uncertainty and make predictions, even about something as inevitable as death.
So what is probability? In common words, it basically means possibility.
Probability is a branch of mathematics that deals with calculating the possible occurrence of an event - to predict how likely that event is going to happen.
In probability, we cannot predict with certainty if an event is going to occur or not with certainty. What we can do though, is predict the chance of this event occurring.
Probability ranges from 0 to 1, with 0 indicating that the event would be impossible to occur, and 1 meaning that the event will definitely occur. The probability of all the possible outcomes all add up to 1.
Let’s recap all the concepts we’ve learned so far:
Let me give you an example so we could put the theories we learn into action. In this example, we will be rolling the dice. Our task for this will be finding out the probability of rolling a 2.
So in this task, based on what we learned, it is asking us to find out the possibility of us rolling a 2 on the dice.
To first calculate the possibility, we need to define the number of outcomes we could have. In a dice, there would be 6 possible outcomes: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6 - which constitutes to 6 sides of the dice.
There is exactly 1 side of the dice that showcase a 2. Thus our favorable outcome is 1 (we want only 1 side of the dice to show up)
Thus, the possibility of rolling a 2 = 1/6 possible outcomes